I'm not calling you a liar or anything but what they told you doesn't really agree to what the AT&T internal memo stated re: pre-orders and taking lists.When I went to my local Cingular store, or is it ATT store, they said something along the lines of each store will get a different amount based on how many names are on the waiting list.
I hope they email me when they know when they are going to receive them.
Assuming 100,000 on release (i really hope that isn't true) i don't think that every store would get the same number..i.e. Apple store gets just as many as the corner cingular store. so i'm sure there will be some disparity when it comes to size/foot traffic.Ok, so if we want 50 phones (avg) at each store, that's 100,000. Can they have 100K on release day? That seems kinda high. What about 10 per store (20K)? That sounds reasonable.
Coming from a manufacturing background I can tell you that 100K is not, by any stretch of the imagination, a large order. The launch window will be the highest short term volume of sales they will experience for the product. I'd be surprized if they launch with anything less that a million units. More likely it'll be closer to 2 million +.Ok, so if we want 50 phones (avg) at each store, that's 100,000. Can they have 100K on release day? That seems kinda high. What about 10 per store (20K)? That sounds reasonable.
Hmm... interesting. Good to hear, but I expected less. We shall have to wait and see, but you know more on the matter than I do.Coming from a manufacturing background I can tell you that 100K is not, by any stretch of the imagination, a large order. The launch window will be the highest short term volume of sales they will experience for the product. I'd be surprized if they launch with anything less that a million units. More likely it'll be closer to 2 million +.
I mean, Apple has to sell nearly a million a month to just meet their target. And targets are ALWAYS set with the intension to beat them.
Remember, Apple's stated goal is to sell 10 million units world wide by the end of 2008. That gives them 18 months. So on average they need sell a little over 1/2 million per month. I would also expect them to sell more per month on average after they launch worldwide since they will have a lot more potential customers. I do think that they will sell more in the first month that it is available than any other month though.I mean, Apple has to sell nearly a million a month to just meet their target. And targets are ALWAYS set with the intension to beat them.
Yeah, me too. I really don't want to camp out if I can get it otherwise. I wish there would be 750 in each store, like the math I did in the earlier post suggests, but that would be a tad bit extravagant.Remember, Apple's stated goal is to sell 10 million units world wide by the end of 2008. That gives them 18 months. So on average they need sell a little over 1/2 million per month. I would also expect them to sell more per month on average after they launch worldwide since they will have a lot more potential customers. I do think that they will sell more in the first month that it is available than any other month though.
I hope you are right about the number in the initial production run. I really would like one on the first day they are available, but I am unwilling to camp out to assure myself of one.
1M ready to go at launch? While that would be awesome, Apple has never done that before as far as I can recollect. Launches are always short of product and it takes a couple months to catch up with demand. This might be different with the iPhone (I hope!) and with smaller devices than computers.Coming from a manufacturing background I can tell you that 100K is not, by any stretch of the imagination, a large order. The launch window will be the highest short term volume of sales they will experience for the product. I'd be surprized if they launch with anything less that a million units. More likely it'll be closer to 2 million +.
I mean, Apple has to sell nearly a million a month to just meet their target. And targets are ALWAYS set with the intension to beat them.
You may be right but I think I remember the statement saying 10 million "in" 2008. That would work out to 833K per month; closer to a million/month. But I still would hold that their greatest opportunity to sell units is at initial launch.Remember, Apple's stated goal is to sell 10 million units world wide by the end of 2008. That gives them 18 months. So on average they need sell a little over 1/2 million per month. I would also expect them to sell more per month on average after they launch worldwide since they will have a lot more potential customers. I do think that they will sell more in the first month that it is available than any other month though.
I hope you are right about the number in the initial production run. I really would like one on the first day they are available, but I am unwilling to camp out to assure myself of one.
Won't we just be able to buy them online? Or is waiting for it to be shipped what everyone doesn't want to deal with?that's all fine and dandy. However, I think the bigger concern or question for me is how many iPhones are each of those stores going to have on the release date.
If 2,000 stores have iPhones but they each only have a handful each then we have a problem a la the Wii and PS3.
I guess i'm just being a little paranoid...my biggest fear is that there won't be enough and i'll have to wait another month...or...shudder...LONGER. I hope that doesn't happen.
From what I have read, yes you will be able to purchase it online. I think many people here have waited so long already to get their hands on one, they don't want to wait a day more than they have to. I for one fall into that categoryWon't we just be able to buy them online? Or is waiting for it to be shipped what everyone doesn't want to deal with?
haha ok I see. I think I could probably wait (eek I know) ... I'm surprised there's no online pre-order option you know?From what I have read, yes you will be able to purchase it online. I think many people here have waited so long already to get their hands on one, they don't want to wait a day more than they have to. I for one fall into that category.